Recently, the Bureau of Justice Statistics released a report entitled, “Recidivism of Sex Offenders Released from State Prison: A 9-Year Follow Up (2005-2014).”
“Notwithstanding the sensationalist headline (“three times as likely”), the statistics reported are actually quite favorable. Full Summary
” So in terms of risk to the public, a citizen is much more likely (six times more likely) to be sexually assaulted by an ex-felon without a sex offense than one with a sex offense.”
And we have a registry why?
Wow! This is great information and yet another confirmation in how messed up all this is. Hopefully, courts will actually listen to all this data instead of blindly punting it because “if there was something wrong, legislature would surely correct it”. I’m really tired of our legal system using the Nuremberg Defense when it comes to all of this.
The article comments on Hansen’s research that “… found that over time, sex offenders reach a level of offending indistinguishable from the general population of ex-felons (a level he calls “desistance”) and thus cannot be justifiably treated differently from other ex-felons.”
I was under the impression that the “desistance” level that Hansen referred to was a comparison against the general population in total, not just the general population of ex-felons. So if it is actually a measure against other ex-felons, and not the general population in total, then I wonder what the sex offense rate is for the latter (primarily of those among the general population who have never been convicted of any felony, i.e., those who are not ex-felons), and whether there is eventual desistance among former sex-offenders with respect to that population.
I was thinking about how we can maybe bring these facts to those that can help make changes, was wondering what people on here thought of organizing a sit down protest at state capitols across the Country all on said organized day who knows what could come of it.
Quick, someone send this to Justice Kennedy to read, both the report and the summary. Send to Uncle Joe, too, who co-sponsored 1994 bill while he is now running for higher office.
Now, for the masses here, what is the take away bumper sticker we want people to know when it comes to percentage? 2.3%, 7.7%, or other? This is not an apple to an orange comparison as stated since the data sets and process are different.
Also, this is not indicative of ML working or anything else. That would be a false front by those who want to mislead and wrongly exploit the data for their own gain.
These numbers are still way over inflated and not relevant. The only real number we need to object to the registry and all of the laws is not about sex offenders released from prison. It is about registered sex offenders. Period.
And that number is BELOW 1 percent.
https://casetext.com/analysis/nbdasx1wdnledd6qkf5ypb3vkdafqou9-why-are-the-reconviction-rates-so-important
I appreciate this article and commentary, as it accurately explains that lifetime registration requirements are punitive and are indeed a form of punishment. This reminds me of the “frightening and high” statement that was made during a Supreme Court ruling in reference to recidivism amongst the sexual offender population, a dishonest attempt to mislead the public.
Further, it is my opinion that there are some instances where a person convicted of a sexual crime should indeed be placed on a registry for the duration of their lifetime. For example, although a person who has committed one sexual crime and subsequently completed the terms of their probation or post-release supervision should be relieved from their duty to register, a repeat offender should be required to register for life. It is ridiculous to state that a repeat sexual offender should not be punished for his or her actions, including remaining on the registry.
I know this is not a popular idea on this board, but, consider this – if a person is convicted of a sexual crime when they are 19, learns from their mistake, and proceeds to lead a productive and meaningful life, they should be removed from the registry. However, if this 19 year old reoffends during the commission of a seperate crime, has this individual learned from their poor choices and/or mistake that got them on the registry? The commission of a crime once is a forgivable mistake, but, additional lapses in judgement warrant a stronger response from our legal system.
It is important, however, to understand that not all sexual crimes are the same and therefore should not be treated in the same manner. If one chooses not to learn from their mistakes and continues to commit sexual crimes, they should not be granted relief from the consequences of their previous actions.
The mean number of arrests was 9!??!! Yeah, wow. Does this include technical parole violations?
Let’s not forget that these numbers are elevated to keep the lazy gov. worker working, the stock prices up of the gps, software and prison, etc… companies that these lazy gov workers n their family invest in
I like this statement,
“The study clearly demonstrates that most sex offense recidivism is committed by young offenders (under 25 years old) and within the first 3 years of release. Rates of re-offense decline steadily over time offense-free in the community, and with age. >>This data would support various types of as-applied and facial challenges to Megan’s Law-type statutes and can be a useful tool in the arsenal of defense attorneys working in this area.<<"
Attorneys that have a brain. I still like how the data is buried in that BSJ report so deep you have to read the entire report just to find the actual facts. And using arrest rates is deceptive at best and down right useless in reality as arrest is not conviction. Anyone and everyone can be arrested, that does not make them a conviction statistic.
@All,
It was about constitutional approach to “The government USES of a database.”
The SOR s are but one USE! There are many.
The term ” Registry” is ubiquitous, none the less it is a machine database(s humans are compelled by Law to maintain under threat of possible incarceration.
Machine\databae\ property. – Thrives purely on data.
Hired men take the commodity to market(SOR) & hunt or locate abscounders.(FTR)
Registrants (Slaves.?) produce sovereign personal information data as the hired men direct.
Hardly a ” New” concept ( Smith v Doe) regime, just a new dress.
Great policy for machines and machine producers, but not so great for humans nor human liberty. SCOTUS claimed ” lack of affirmative disability, nor retribution in INTENT.
ALL 51 CHOSE ALL 51 PAY!
The registry is a big scam. Hope all this bullshit catches up to the political lies though. As well as everything else that comes with the registry… like “treatment,” the Static-99R scam, compliance checks, and public notification.
This section **Rates of re-offense decline steadily over time offense-free in the community, and with age.***
So how come someone’s Static99 score does not change????